US macro
Take
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Bitcoin broke the multi-week $62–67k box and is stretching it. Spot $76,950, +22% in seven days from $63.0k. RSI ~82, Fear & Greed 71 (was 41 three sessions ago), 200-day ~$69.0k underneath, 50-day ~$64.9k. Spot ETF week ~$1.9B, AUM $96.1B. Cycle: 8–10 months past the Oct 2025 $124.8k high, trough so far $58.6k in June. Trade $74–80k liquidation air and the 200-day, not a Saturday RSI.
24/7 tape · Yahoo BTC-USD last $76,950 · Friday cash $78,335
Price
BTC
6M +14.01%
Snapshot
Range break, stretched RSI
Market cap
$1.5T
vs 52-week
-39.02%
Fear & Greed
71
Greed · was 41
ETF week
$1.9B
5-day streak
RSI 14d
~82
overbought
200-day
$69.0k
above
7-day
+22%
from $63.0k
Cycle peak
$124.8k
Oct 6 2025
Range
Cycle peak
$95,000
Reference · +23.46% vs spot
High $126000 · Low $45000 · Median $90000
7
Buy
3
Hold
2
Sell
Accumulate
tilt
Next
Month-end OpEx
2026-08-28
Last Friday. Deribit + CME gamma. Pin risk if OI stacks near spot. Not a Cboe equity expiry.
Liquidation map
Nearest air
Long air
$670.0M
$76.4k
Short air
$814.0M
$77.6k
Spot
$76,950
Yahoo BTC-USD
Read
$77.2k
short liq
News
BTC headlines
No headlines cleared the filter.
Tape
ETF / cycle tape
| Date | Firm | Action | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 | SoSoValue / The Block | ETF tape | — |
| 08-21 | Quartz / SoSoValue | August 2026 high | — |
| 08-09 | CoinDesk | Weekly inflows | — |
| 08-22 | alternative.me | Fear & Greed 71 | — |
| 10-06 | Cycle tape | Peak so far | $124753 |
| 06-30 | Cycle tape | Trough so far | $58559 |
Spot from Yahoo BTC-USD. ETF prints from SoSoValue / The Block / IBIT factsheet. Fear & Greed from alternative.me. Liquidation maps are public composites, not a live book. Not investment advice, not a solicitation, and not affiliated with Bitcoin.